A figure that shakes up the internal balance
According to an Odoxa survey published Starting February 2026, Jordan Bardella is preferred. à Marine Le Pen by a majority of RN sympathizers. Around 69% believe he would make a better candidate for the 2027 presidential election, compared to 31% for Le Pen. The result marks a symbolic shift: “number 2” becomes the dominant option in the base.
What the survey really measures
The central point is the question asked. Here, it is an application preference, not necessarily a popularity rating. in the broad sense (sympathy, trust, ability to govern). A person responsible can be judged “best candidate” without being the most “appreciated” in absolute terms. Hence the importance of comparing with other barometers (Ipsos, IFOP) and other formulations.
The context: 2027 in the background
This dynamic is part of a tense political climate and an RN in preparation. Speculation about 2027 automatically feeds the Bardella-Le Pen comparison, especially as soon as a judicial or political event weakens one of the figures. For the moment, the survey does not decide an investiture: it photographs a balance of power between the two parties. just a moment.
Why does it matter for the RN
If the trend continues, the RN could find itself facing a crisis. a strategic dilemma: capitalize on the “freshness” and the image of Bardella, or maintain Le Pen as a historical figure and natural candidate. In all cases, the message is clear: the RN base is projecting itself more and more onto Bardella.
